Western Democrat, from its beginning, noticed that moving a few Western states from red to blue would shift the electoral balance in November. The presidential contest looks very close heading into the national convention in Denver.
My favorite polling sites are here, here, and here. If the polls are correct, Senator Obama will likely carry all the states Senator Kerry won, though New Hampshire looks close. Plus Senator Obama looks likely to win Iowa and New Mexico. That results in 264 electoral votes, six short of a majority. Fewer than ten remaining states look winnable for Obama-Biden at this point.
Polls vary daily, but Colorado with nine electoral votes is one of the closest toss up states. Not long ago Colorado was a solidly red state. Resurgent Democrats now hold the governor’s mansion, one U.S. Senate seat, both houses of the state legislature, and congressional seats that were once regarded as irredeemably Republican. Democratic Congressman Mark Udall, son of "Mo" Udall, is holding a modest but consistent lead for Colorado’s other U.S. Senate seat. Colorado is winnable. Colorado may be the key state in 2008.
All this makes the selection of Denver for the national convention look like a very smart move.
Your Personal Note:
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(and yes, we know that sometimes they're very, very wrong. Other times, they're right on.)