Best in the West
From the beginning of Western Democrat, it was recognized that the West offered the Democratic Party a way out of a recurring pattern of electoral defeat.
The primary season reaches another critical junction this Tuesday. Democrats looking to win in November would do well to visit 270toWin.com and look at the state polls. Poll numbers can be fickle things, but the overall impression is clear: Barack Obama would run much better in the West than Hillary Clinton. The margin is, in fact, the difference between victory and defeat in November.
Consider six states in the West. The first three were won by Kerry, and are must wins in 2008. The second three were lost my Kerry, but would have put him in the White House had he won all three.
The first three are California, Oregon, and Washington. According to recent state polls, Obama would win California by 27%, Oregon by 1% and Washington by 17%. Hillary would win California by 19%, lose Oregon by 3%, and tie in Washington.
The second three are Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada. Obama would will all three by 7%, tie to 15% (two polls), and 12%, respectively. Hillary would lose Colorado by 14% and lose in Nevada by 9% (no recent poll from this source for New Mexico).
Leo Brown | March 2, 2008 | Comment on This Post (3 so far) |
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Comments
Don't forget Idaho! It may be a long shot at the presidential level, but there is very encouraging stuff at the Senate level -- and it's downright entertaining as well -- e.g. here are two candidates for Senate, seeking to fill Larry "Wide Stance" Craig's seat. Which one seems more in touch with the problems facing working class Idahoans? Hah!!
http://vids.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=vids.individual&videoid=29240337
as opposed to
http://www.spokesmanreview.com/blogs/boise/archive/?postID=7305#more
and in conclusion:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rvp_kvHW9Dk
Oddly, because it is Idaho, it's still a contest – make your own choice and send your dollars to whoever you think deserves them most
Hint: http://actblue.com/entity/fundraisers/17920
What say we get it up to $100K by end of March? This guy has one of the best "purple state potentials" in the nation, it seems to me. Any thought?
Posted by: grigby | Mar 4, 2008 11:39:59 PM
One thing I like about a 50 state strategy is that it helps Idaho build a genuine two-party system.
I also like Larry LaRocco http://www.westerndemocrat.com/2007/10/which-larry-sho.html
Posted by: Leo Brown | Mar 5, 2008 4:55:10 PM
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(and yes, we know that sometimes they're very, very wrong. Other times, they're right on.)
