Stunning turnout throughout the West
In a release, the DNC points out that turnout on Super Tuesday was stunningly high throughout the West -- which bodes well for the general election.
• In Colorado, Democrats saw twice the number of caucus-goers as Republicans—119,184 to 55,845. Yesterday’s turnout was eight times higher than that of turnout from 2004 when only 15,000 participated. [Denver Post, 2/6/08]
• In Idaho, 21,224 people caucused for Democrats, far exceeding anyone’s expectations, and forcing officials to print more ballots. [AP, 2/5/08; cnn.com, 2/6/08]
• In Arizona, 368,828 people turned out for Democrats, far exceeding the record of 239,000. [cnn.com, 2/6/08]
• In New Mexico, more than 152,000 ballots were cast, far surpassing the 2004 number of 104,000 in 2004.
• And in Utah, 122,617 people came out for Democrats, far exceeding the 33,839 who participated in the 2004 primary. [cnn.com]
It's going to be a good year.
Your Personal Note:
All true, and good news, but where are those new votes coming from? The answer in much of the West is from Obama voters, who tend to be young, educated, independent, and affluent. Obama won 74% of the vote in Alaska, 67% in Colorado, 80% (!) in Idaho, and 57% in Utah. Obama, however, has not done as well among Hispanics, a growing demographic, hurting him in the Southwest. The remaining states in the West don’t have huge Latino populations (MT, OR, WA, WY) and look like naturals for Obama. Texas is the one state yet to vote where Obama needs a serious Hispanic outreach to do well. As for the general election, an Obama-Richardson ticket could attract Latino voters. Does Richardson’s new beard signal a turning away from national politics or just a vacation from the campaign trail? Does it make him look more Hispanic? Does it give him more gravitas?
Posted by: Leo Brown | Feb 7, 2008 9:24:51 AM
According to the latest poll from Time magazine Obama would beat McCain 48%-41%. Hillary and McCain would tie at 46%. The difference is the independent vote.
Posted by: Leo Brown | Feb 7, 2008 9:26:02 PM
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(and yes, we know that sometimes they're very, very wrong. Other times, they're right on.)