Nevada leaps ahead of New Hampshire!
In a huge victory for Western Democrats, the DNC rules and bylaws committee has decided to allow Nevada to schedule a presidential caucus before the New Hampshire primary. NH would retain its "first in the nation primary" status, but Nevada would slip in after Iowa. Also, South Carolina will hold a primary shortly after New Hampshire, during the time previously reserved as a quiet period.
As one on-site observer told me, "Nevada and South Carolina won in a landslide in the Rules and Bylaws committeee meeting."
At this point, the full DNC will need to approve the recommendation in mid-August to formalize the decision. Expect a full court press and lobbying from all players.
Coverage from the National Journal is here.
Kari Chisholm | July 22, 2006 | Comment on This Post (10 so far) |
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Comments
I haven't seen this written about anywhere else, but is there a way to estimate what the cap will be for NV for those candidates who accept matching funds? I am guessing it will be low, since the voting population in 2004 was about 1/3 of Iowa's, so unless I misunderstand completely, the cap is going to be about $1.5m.
And none of the nearby out of state media markets broadcast into NV, so it'll be harder to fudget that cap.
Will that be a factor or are we presuming that all the major candidates are going to forgo matching funds?
Posted by: desmoulins | Jul 23, 2006 7:54:28 AM
Interesting question. Not sure. They produce a cap for every state, right - so it shouldn't be hard to find the 2004 cap for Nevada.
Keep in mind that most of the population is in the greater Las Vegas area, so it makes it a pretty easy state to run a field operation in.
Posted by: Kari Chisholm | Jul 25, 2006 2:39:08 AM
This really is great news!
Posted by: WyoBlueDog | Jul 25, 2006 11:12:32 AM
Sounds great!
I have always hated New Hampshire thinking they have some right to decide who becomes president. Seems silly to me.
Posted by: Raymond Suelzer | Jul 25, 2006 11:27:54 AM
And only a few decades old. It ain't like it was handed down by Jefferson and Madison.
Posted by: Kari Chisholm | Jul 26, 2006 2:09:50 AM
2008 could be a very interesting primary season. We could have Midwesterner Bayh winning in Iowa, Westerner Richardson in Nevada, an Easterner (Hilary, Kerry, Biden?) in New Hampshire, and Southerner Edwards in South Carolina. Or one candidate could win them all, and it would be all over very quickly. In any event, four regions of the country will have an early vote.
Posted by: Leo Brown | Jul 26, 2006 8:27:47 AM
I think Iowan Tom Vilsack has a better chance of winning Iowa.
Posted by: WyoBlueDog | Jul 26, 2006 7:49:35 PM
Yes, Vilsack could win Iowa if he runs. I'm not sure he will run, however.
Posted by: Leo Brown | Jul 28, 2006 9:29:09 PM
Great post!
Posted by: Brown | Aug 1, 2006 12:10:00 AM
Actually, there was a preliminary poll already done for Iowa and it had Edwards leading the pack. You can probably expect Edwards to do quite well here in Nevada as well.
Posted by: mc | Aug 16, 2006 11:07:10 AM
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(and yes, we know that sometimes they're very, very wrong. Other times, they're right on.)
