RE: The decline and fall of the GOP has begun
Tom Knapp takes the Hackett loss in Ohio and takes us all the way West. He likes Western Dems:
I don't expect the Democrats to take back both houses of Congress next year, but I do expect them to make solid gains. And in 2008, they can run the table, especially if they nominate a relatively pro-freedom candidate -- probably a western governor like New Mexico's Bill Richardson, Arizona's Janet Napolitano or even Brian Schweitzer of Montana -- for the presidency.
Emmett O'Connell | August 4, 2005 | Comment on This Post (2 so far) |
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I agree, but how can Hillary be gotten out of the way? Its almost like giving up what could be a sure win. I'd bet money that she will lose, and yet the Dem party is coronating her.
Along with Western Dems, I think moderates like Mark Warner or Evan Bayh could win as well.
Posted by: Del | Aug 10, 2005 3:12:41 AM
Hilary is a known quantity with high negatives as well as high positives. The number of undecideds is small when it comes to Hilary. The number of voters who can be won over is thus small. The conventional wisdom is that the nomination is Hilary’s if she wants it, and, of course, she will want it. She might well dominate the primary season the way Kerry did and with the same ultimate outcome. Consider the following alternative to the conventional wisdom. Suppose that in 2007 Hilary looks at the polls, and the numbers are not good. She may decide she would rather be a powerful Senator than a losing Presidential candidate. Alternatively, suppose that her numbers are not good, but she runs anyway, and the voters of Iowa decide they would rather find someone else to head the ticket. That could break the race open. An early Western primary would further open the door to alternative candidates.
Posted by: Leo Brown | Aug 10, 2005 6:22:33 AM
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(and yes, we know that sometimes they're very, very wrong. Other times, they're right on.)
